A senior advisor to President Donald Trump has warned of a 90% chance of military action against Iran in the coming weeks, stating that “the boss is getting fed up.”
The unnamed advisor told Axios that while some around Trump have warned against war with Iran, kinetic action is likely soon.
“The sources noted it would likely be a joint U.S.-Israeli campaign that’s much broader in scope — and more existential for the regime — than the Israeli-led 12-day war last June, which the U.S. eventually joined to take out Iran’s underground nuclear facilities,” the report explains.
The report adds:
The timeline: The Israeli government — which is pushing for a maximalist scenario targeting regime change as well as Iran’s nuclear and missile programs — is preparing for a scenario of war within days, according to two Israeli officials.
Some U.S. sources tell Axios that the U.S. might need more time. Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) said strikes could still be weeks away. But others say the timeline could be shorter.
“The boss is getting fed up. Some people around him warn him against going to war with Iran, but I think there is 90% chance we see kinetic action in the next few weeks,” one Trump adviser said.
This warning follows three-hour talks in Geneva on February 18 between Trump advisers Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi.
Both sides described the discussions as making progress, but U.S. officials indicated that wide gaps remain.
Vice President JD Vance stated that the negotiations went well in some aspects but that Trump has set red lines the Iranians are not yet willing to acknowledge. He added that diplomacy could reach its natural end soon.
The U.S. has accelerated military deployments in the Middle East, including two aircraft carriers, dozens of warships, hundreds of fighter jets, and more than 150 cargo flights carrying weapons and ammunition.
In the past 24 hours, an additional 50 fighter jets, including F-35s, F-22s, and F-16s, have been sent to the region.
On Tuesday, Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei threatened to sink US warships.
“The Americans constantly say that they’ve sent a warship toward Iran,” Khamenei wrote in a post on X. “Of course, a warship is a dangerous piece of military hardware.”
The Americans constantly say that they’ve sent a warship toward Iran. Of course, a warship is a dangerous piece of military hardware. However, more dangerous than that warship is the weapon that can send that warship to the bottom of the sea.
— Khamenei.ir (@khamenei_ir) February 17, 2026
“However, more dangerous than that warship is the weapon that can send that warship to the bottom of the sea,” Khamenei added.
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